New Democracy remains the leading party with 26.1% in voting intention according to a Data Consultants poll for the Peloponnese Region. PASOK follows as the second party with 11.9%, trailing by 14 percentage points behind ND. In a scenario where Alexis Tsipras ran as party leader, 15.5% declared they would vote for him. On the other hand, if Antonis Samaras ran as party leader, 14.7% declared they would vote for him. It should be noted that this latest survey, conducted for the newspaper “Peloponnesos” and television station BEST, captures current trends without constituting an electoral outcome prediction. The Data Consultants poll for the Peloponnese Region reveals a politically fragile landscape where New Democracy maintains a clear lead, but the high percentage of undecided voters and a “grey zone” of almost 30% indicates significant mobility in the electorate.
Peloponnese Region poll: voting intention
Voting intention: National elections in the Peloponnese Region with existing parties
From the question: “If national elections were held and we voted next Sunday, which party would you vote for?”
Comments:
If we had elections tomorrow, ND would be the leading party in the Peloponnese Region with 26.1%. The highest percentages among men, elderly voters, those with up to secondary education, in Argolis, as well as those who position themselves on the “right” and “center-right”.
PASOK-KINAL comes second with 11.9%, or 14 percentage points less than ND. The profile of their audience is men, aged over 60, with up to secondary education, from Laconia and Arcadia regional units, freelancers, pensioners, “centrists” and “center-left” voters.
Third party is GREEK SOLUTION with 7.7% and fourth is COURSE OF FREEDOM with 5%.
KKE follows with 4.8% and SYRIZA with 4.1%. The remaining parties record much smaller percentages.
The choice “other party” gathers 4.3%.
“Undecided” voters reach 19.5%. In this group, women, younger ages, those with higher education, voters from Corinth and Messenia counties, farmers, freelancers and those who position themselves as “left”, “center-left” and those who don’t position themselves politically are proportionally more represented.
The “Grey zone” gathers 28.7%, an exceptionally high percentage.
Undecided voter distribution scenario
Comments:
According to the poll, “if we had elections next Sunday” in the Peloponnese Region, ND would be the leading party with 36.7%. This percentage is 7 percentage points lower than recorded in the last national elections and 6 percentage points higher than the European elections.
PASOK would receive 16.7%. A percentage 2.9 points higher than the last national elections and 2.4 points higher than the European elections.
GREEK SOLUTION would receive 10.8%. A percentage 7 points higher than the last national elections and 1.7 points higher than the European elections.
SYRIZA would receive 5.8%. A percentage 10.5 points lower than the last national elections and 8.3 points lower than the European elections.
COURSE OF FREEDOM would receive 7%. A percentage 4.3 points higher than the last national elections and 3.9 points higher than the European elections.
KKE would receive 6.7%. A percentage 1 point higher than the last national elections and 0.5 points lower than the European elections.
Potential voting intention with Tsipras participation
From the question: “If national elections were held and we voted next Sunday, and a party led by Mr. Tsipras also participated, which party would you vote for?”
Comments:
In the hypothetical case that Mr. Tsipras ran as party leader, 15.5% declared they would vote for him. Since this party doesn’t exist, this percentage could also be recorded as “electoral influence”. This percentage among valid votes is even higher and would make this hypothetical party second after ND. It would be chosen proportionally more by women, younger voters, those with mandatory education, voters from Arcadia, Laconia and Messenia counties, public sector employees, freelancers, economically inactive individuals and those characterized as “left” and “center-left”.
The electoral base of the “potential Tsipras party” consists (in its overwhelming majority) of part of the electoral base mainly from left parties and secondarily from center-left parties. If the goal of the potential party is to contribute to rallying center-left segments and their stronger expression, this appears feasible, but with PASOK always strong. If the goal is to have characteristics of a leading party with governing prospects, this is not recorded as feasible.
Potential voting intention with Karystianou participation
From the question: “If national elections were held and we voted next Sunday, and a party led by Ms. Karystianou also participated, which party would you vote for?”
Comments:
In the hypothetical case that Ms. Karystianou ran as party leader, 20.8% would vote for her. Since this party doesn’t exist, it could be recorded as “electoral influence”. The performance among valid votes is higher and would make the hypothetical party second after ND (24.3%).
The potential party would draw strength from almost all parties. More from NIKI, Greek Solution but also from Course of Freedom, GREEK SOLUTION, KKE etc.
Potential voting intention with A. Samaras participation
From the question: “If national elections were held and we voted next Sunday, and a party led by Mr. Antonis Samaras also participated, which party would you vote for?”
Comments:
In the hypothetical case that A. Samaras ran as party leader, 14.7% declared they would vote for him. Since this party doesn’t exist, the percentage could be recorded as “electoral influence”. This percentage among valid votes is even higher and would make this hypothetical party second after ND. It would be chosen proportionally more by women, age groups up to 35 years and 48-59 years, those with higher education, voters from Laconia and Messenia counties, as well as those characterized as “centrists” and “right-wing”.
The electoral base of the “potential Samaras party” consists (in its overwhelming majority) of part of the electoral base mainly from right-wing parties.
Potential voting intention with Tsipras, Karystianou, Samaras participation
From the question: “If national elections were held and we voted next Sunday, and all three potential parties of Mr. Tsipras, Ms. Karystianou and Mr. Samaras participated, which party would you vote for?”
Comments:
In the hypothetical case that Ms. Karystianou and Messrs. A. Tsipras, A. Samaras ran as party leaders, we see significant reshuffling of all parties. Undecided voters drop to 12%.
ND is recorded as the leading party with 21.9% and Ms. Karystianou’s party second with 14.4%. Mr. Tsipras’s party follows with 10.9%, Mr. Samaras’s party fourth with 10.2% and PASOK fifth with 8.1%.
Undecided voters are limited to 12.2% and the grey zone to 17.5%.
