Exit polls are pointing to a victory for the center-left opposition coalition in Sweden’s parliamentary elections held on Sunday (13/09). Specifically, polls conducted at voting stations and broadcast by two television channels immediately after polls closed predict a win for the Social Democrats.
Sweden’s parliamentary elections — What the exit polls show
In more detail, according to TV4, citing a survey by polling firm Novus, the center-left bloc is leading with 51.3%, compared to 47% for the conservative parties.
Similar figures — 51.3% for the center-left and 46.8% for the right — are also shown in the public broadcaster SVT’s exit poll.
According to that second poll, Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats are projected to win around 28.4% of the vote, marking a decline compared to the 2022 elections, when they received 30.3%.
The far-right Sweden Democrats party is falling to 17.2%, down from the 20.5% it secured in 2022.
The Liberals, meanwhile, are expected to narrowly clear the 4% threshold and secure seats in parliament.
Polls closed at 9:00 PM local time and vote counting is set to continue over the coming hours.
While exit polls are often indicative of the final result, Sweden’s exit polls have not always been accurate in their predictions. In 2022, for example, one poll suggested that Andersson’s bloc would win a majority — yet it was ultimately the right-wing coalition led by current Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson that secured it.
