New Democracy appears first, with a lead of 16.7 points over the second party, capturing 30.6% according to the new RealPolls survey for Protagon.gr, conducted on November 9–10.
Specifically, in the electoral outcome projection, New Democracy reaches 30.6% from 27.7%, PASOK records an increase to 13.9% (from 10.4%), Course of Freedom moves downward to 7.6% (from 10.4%), while SYRIZA retreats to 5.6% (from 6.9%). On the right, Greek Solution strengthens to 9.8% (from 8.7%), Voice of Reason to 5.9% (from 5.3%) while MeRA25 decreases to 4.3% (from 6.9%).
Voting intention: New Democracy at 24.2%, PASOK at 10%
In voting intention, New Democracy records 24.2% (+0.4 points from the previous measurement), PASOK-KINAL 10% (+1.4 points), while Course of Freedom decreases to 6.1% from 7.6%. Greek Solution rises to third place with 7.5% (from 7.2%), KKE follows with 6% (from 5.7%), Voice of Reason reaches 4.3% (from 3.8%), SYRIZA retreats to 3.5% (from 4.5%) and MeRA25 to 3.2% (from 4.4%).
Undecided votes increase to 18% (from 16.3%), while “Other party” rises to 7.8% (from 6.6% in October and 3.9% in September).
Regarding the energy agreements announced during the Summit for Transatlantic Energy Cooperation (November 6–7), broad positive evaluation is recorded: for ExxonMobil’s drilling in the Ionian Sea, “definitely yes” answers 30.5% regarding whether it is a positive step and “probably yes” 27.8% (total 58.3%).
On energy and foreign policy
For Greece’s role as an LNG transit hub, “definitely yes” 30.6% and “probably yes” 27.1% (total 57.7%). However, to the question whether “Greece is on the right side of history” based on foreign policy choices, “definitely no” answers 40.8% and “probably no” 21.7% (total 62.5%), while “definitely yes” 16.3% and “probably yes” 18.5% (total 34.8%).
In foreign policy, as “best at defending national interests” Kyriakos Mitsotakis is recorded with 30%, second Kostas Al. Karamanlis with 18% and third Alexis Tsipras with 13.7%, while Antonis Samaras receives 6.5% and ranks below Giorgos Papandreou. The activity so far of the US ambassador to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle is evaluated positively by 33.7% (Positive – Rather positive) and negatively by 31.3% (Rather negative – Negative), with her actions being connected to the energy agreements.
On daily life issues, the economy remains a decisive voting factor for seven out of ten.
In a government–opposition comparison on a series of issues, the government leads, however the highest percentage is concentrated in the answer “neither can provide solutions“. For energy agreements and their impact on income, 56.7% answer that they will not improve their financial situation.
How many would vote for new parties with Tsipras and Samaras
Regarding new party scenarios, Antonis Samaras gathers 10.4% total voting probability (“very likely” 3.8% and “quite likely” 6.6%), with 73.4% declaring “not at all likely“. For the possibility of a party by Alexis Tsipras, “very likely” declares 9.9% and “quite likely” 7.7% (total 17.6%), while “not at all likely” 67.9%.
Finally, in the evaluation of prime ministers, Kyriakos Mitsotakis records 31.8% as “best at immediate problem-solving“, with Alexis Tsipras at 21.3%. In the area of reforms, Mr. Mitsotakis’s performance rises to 38.8%, with Mr. Tsipras second at 17.9%.
