The electoral power of undecided voters has become a decisive factor for the future of the Greek political scene. With a percentage approaching 20%, undecided citizens are creating serious challenges for the Mitsotakis government and its pursuit of parliamentary majority in upcoming elections.
The rise of undecided voters in polls
Recent polling data reveals a concerning trend for the ruling party. Undecided voters are recording continuous growth, with the largest segment coming from the electoral base of New Democracy. This shift does not benefit opposition parties, as disappointed citizens choose abstention instead of turning to other political options.
The latest GPO survey for “Parapolitika” newspaper confirms this trend, showing that the political system faces an unprecedented crisis of confidence. This phenomenon highlights the political representation gap experienced by Greek society.
Analysis of the phenomenon by GPO research director
Antonis Papargyris, GPO research director, provides significant insights into undecided voter behavior. According to his observations, after government crises such as the Tempe tragedy, there is systematic movement of New Democracy voters toward the undecided zone.
The critical element the researcher emphasizes is that only a portion of these voters returns to their original party when the crisis passes. The remaining segment stays in the gray zone, creating a cumulative problem for New Democracy.
Impact on government electoral strategy
The 5.6% increase in undecided voters within just 30 days represents an alarming signal for the Prime Minister’s office. This trend prevents New Democracy from surpassing European election percentages and achieving the desired parliamentary majority.
Challenges facing the government include:
• The need to regain confidence from disappointed voters
• The risk of new political formations emerging that will absorb part of this electoral pool
• Managing the confidence crisis before it grows further
Future developments and prospects
According to Papargyris, as long as the current political crisis continues, the percentage of undecided voters will keep increasing. The possibility of new political formations emerging, such as the rumored Samaras party, could change the dynamics and attract part of this electoral force.
The government is called to address this challenge immediately, as the battle for parliamentary majority will be decided by a margin of just a few percentage points. The return of undecided voters to New Democracy’s electoral base constitutes a critical prerequisite for achieving this goal.
*Published in Apogeumatini newspaper
