A clear lead for New Democracy, which records a vote share higher than its European election result, along with a strong advantage for Kyriakos Mitsotakis on the question of who should serve as prime minister — these are the key findings of the Metron Analysis poll presented on MEGA’s main evening news bulletin.
Metron Analysis poll: ND leads by 14.4 points
In terms of voting intention, New Democracy holds first place with 30.2%, maintaining a lead of 14.4 percentage points over Alexis Tsipras’s ELAS, which registers at 15.8%.
PASOK stands at 12.6%, while Maria Karystianou’s “Hope for Democracy” party records a significant polling decline. In voting intention, the party drops from 7.5% in June to 4.4%, simultaneously falling from 4th to 8th place.
Greek Solution moves up in the rankings, gaining 1.2 percentage points — from 5.7% to 6.9% — followed by the Communist Party (KKE) at 6.1%. Course of Freedom also posts a modest rise, from 5.6% to 5.8%. The biggest gain belongs to Voice of Reason, which picks up 1.5 points to reach 5.3%, up from 3.8% in the previous survey.
Based on the poll’s findings, a nine-party parliament emerges, with MeRA25 recording 3.5% in voting intention.
Falling short of the parliamentary threshold are Niki at 1.7% — despite gaining half a point — SYRIZA at 1.5%, and Stefanos Kasselakis’s party at 1.2%.
The prospect of a Samaras party
The share of respondents who say they are “very likely” to vote for a potential new party led by Antonis Samaras remains steady at 5%. An additional 8% say they are “quite likely” to support it. At the same time, the proportion of those expressing opposition to such a prospect is growing. Specifically, 68% say they are “unlikely” to vote for a Samaras party, up from 65% in the previous survey.
Economic discontent is growing
The survey paints a persistently negative picture of citizens’ personal financial situation. Some 49% of respondents say they are worse off compared to a year ago, a figure up four points from the company’s previous survey.
By contrast, just 13% say they are better off compared to 2025 — the lowest figure recorded in the past six months.
Despite this backdrop, pessimism about the country’s overall direction has eased slightly. The share of those who believe Greece is heading in the wrong direction stands at 66%, down from 69% in May.
